Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 14.064385 16.381375 18.905180 21.851195 25.188063 28.842597 33.139990
2025-07-20 10.763659 14.075657 18.045338 23.117029 29.383769 36.830013 46.299510
2025-07-27 8.596162 12.330558 17.156448 23.765041 32.481608 43.477038 58.270131
2025-08-03 6.980206 10.845428 16.171631 23.901298 34.657814 48.897350 68.931917
2025-08-10 5.637727 9.428719 14.967268 23.434064 35.786202 52.838006 77.768250
2025-08-17 4.589300 8.225870 13.836111 22.831206 36.526283 56.152325 85.834764
2025-08-24 3.752829 7.189611 12.773400 22.135211 36.962664 58.950626 93.240937
2025-08-31 3.033593 6.209241 11.638363 21.144222 36.780366 60.731387 99.174717
2025-09-07 2.693034 5.832246 11.435076 21.606535 38.868099 66.018598 110.627041
2025-09-14 2.391081 5.470667 11.200009 21.966388 40.784324 71.126224 122.072765
2025-09-21 2.040511 4.947974 10.597748 21.601569 41.425906 74.208551 130.476396
2025-09-28 1.720159 4.425531 9.918612 21.006225 41.588092 76.476478 137.652936
2025-10-05 1.621813 4.391582 10.231024 22.380089 45.506308 85.525248 156.952927
2025-10-12 1.496562 4.279656 10.385209 23.496921 49.115147 94.399633 176.707157
2025-10-19 1.343033 4.067622 10.297902 24.122398 51.863945 101.973276 194.737141
2025-10-26 1.173670 3.776386 9.991116 24.254775 53.669993 107.981914 210.406552
2025-11-02 0.990230 3.401817 9.433290 23.780551 54.228419 111.747586 222.322630
2025-11-09 0.828397 3.043700 8.850995 23.169774 54.435004 114.845487 233.184479
2025-11-16 0.688040 2.708597 8.264249 22.464775 54.361851 117.379591 243.124659
2025-11-23 0.557903 2.364873 7.590684 21.460940 53.543352 118.394087 250.260828
2025-11-30 0.504683 2.261434 7.536177 21.929253 55.939881 125.836035 269.905626
2025-12-07 0.453812 2.151524 7.445059 22.293765 58.131305 132.992822 289.366070
2025-12-14 0.386505 1.958903 7.083095 21.924222 58.625904 136.735560 302.386567